Rico, of course FAP is shrinking! It has been shrinking for decades! And do you know since when exactly it started shrinking?? Obviously.... since the very exact moment it stopped growing!!lol
Now seriously, FAP is shrinking since the end of the colonial wars. Before that, "necessities of war" made FAP a big (but unfortunately warped) force!
I'd like to point some things that people should know before caring for the numbers of flying-metal machines standing on wheels on air base ramps and shelters!!
We are a 10-million people country, but we only have 30 (+-) individuals flying F-16s! Opinions apart: it was not easy to reach this number of men, it's not easy to maintain it, and i don't believe it would grow much more in the short/medium term. So.... why did we want 40 jets on the flightline anyway?!? (semi-answer's a few lines below).
You all have an excuse for not understanding what i mean, or for not getting where do i want to get.... unless you're Portuguese or have lived here in the last 2 decades! Here, there's a huge distance between "who gives orders" and "who works". And because so, the reality isn't much the same for those 2 groups of people. (Ok, this is a good entry point for discussing current economical crisis, but we'll spare that for somewhere else!). For short.... everybody knew that 40 F-16 was too much, even before they were ordered. But they were ordered anyway! (know what i mean now?
) I could come with hundreds of examples like this one just within the Portuguese military topic. I won't. Let's get back to the most appreciated numbers!
1) 40 aircraft contracted for MLU (19 Peace Atlantis I + 21 PA II)
2) 10 MLUed aircraft (originally) intended for sale
3) One aircraft crashed during test flight (F-16BM s/n 15140)
4) Today, 33 of those 39 MLUs are flying (remaining six will so too by mid-2013)
5) 12 aircraft are now (supposedly) intended for sale
Conclusions: 27 F-16s are enough for those 30 guys to schedule the 24/24h QRA between them and to have 6 jets on NATO's Immediate Reaction Force. But what i care the most is that those guys continue to have enough training, enough flying hours, attend to exercises, that each one of them has their own JHMCS, that they have 12 Litening AT pods on an 27-aircraft fleet, can use LGBs, JDAMs, LJDAMs and AMRAAM C-5s effectively, win trophies at Tiger Meets and continue to be the best at their job!
"Abraços" to all (specially you Rico, am waiting for your visit here! Before FAP has no aircraft for us to take shots at!!